2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x pennsylvania
x romney

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important may be at this moment, the state of florida already 41% of precincts reporting because they do so automatically, and largely because -- there are two times in florida. the eastern time, we all know this from the 2000 election, the eastern time zone has been closed for an hour. the panhandle, which means fort walton beach, panama city, pensacola, all the counties around the panhandle had just closed, so their numbers are not yet in. the old saying about florida is the for the north you go, the father southern you get, which means the panhandle is republican territory. the southeast part of the status democratic territory. what decides florida is the interstate corridor that stretches from tampa to orlando and all the way to daytona beach and some small communities in between. that area there will decide florida. that area is in. the panhandle is just coming in. let's look at florida again. it is lopsided at the moment. you can see or you will be able to see in a moment that in a state of florida with 41% of precincts reported, there is a lopsided lead at the moment for barack obama

.m. or future days. the romney campaign is watching closely florida, virginia and ohio. there are very few victory strategies contemplated by boston, the romney campaign, that don't include the buckeye state and they're concerned about signs of high turn-out in the northern part of ohio where the detroit auto bail-out was a big mallet which the president pounded mr. romney. on the southern border of ohio along kentucky, particularly along cincinnati, hamilton county, big optimism and turn-out for the republican campaign. virginia, florida, ohio romney believes so go though so goes the country. romney has only written one speech, a victory speech. >> carl cameron. let's get straight to the president's camp in chicago and ed henry. >> shep, the president has been getting very wistful. it started in iowa what started the obama movement. he said today he was crying partly because it was cold out and thinking back four years ago and thinking about everyone turning out for him last night. he is hoping for big turn-outs in big battlegrounds. i got off the phone with one of the president's senior

. let me begin by asking about florida. you said the president will win your state. breakdown the demographics of florida. where will the president do well and mitt romney? >> let's just talk about how early voting has been going. you do that combined with the absentee voting. going into early voting, we cut the absentee ballots by 85%. going in they had about 36,000 ballots when normally they have more than 200,000 ballots more than us. when early voting ended yesterday we had 104 more democrats that have cashed out. -- 104,000 more that have cast ballots. we have run circles around them because of our very strong and ground game. there has been an explosive turnout of democrats in major counties. yesterday we had single day records and major counties around the state of florida. going into election day weekend see in my state that the enthusiasm is explosive among democratic voters were turned out in record numbers to support president obama. the same is true in states across the country like nevada and iowa and north carolina. we have over 300,000 voters advantage from earl

to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> e see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996

, florida, after 24,000 people turned out to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state in new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. governor romney's rallies have been quite smaller, but these are quite good crowds all around. for both campaigns. in relative terms and in absolute terms. now it's the part of the campaign where we also start watching another variety of huge crowds. look at this. oh, man. crowds of people lining up to vote in florida. we have been getting reports that the

cain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we're going to pick up pennsylvania. we'll think we got a real good shot in virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. you know, that's the pathway to victory for john mccain and we're excited. we're hoping to see a lot of people out there in chicago on election night with barack obama experiencing a long, cold night, as we learn that john mccrane surprised them and won. >> it's nice he wishes physical discomfort on his political enemies, just gratuitously throwing that in. but notice what exactly he was so confidently predicting there. the day before the election in 2008, it was mitt romney. these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> you see how all those states were blue? mr. romney's confident predictions that john mccain was going to win ohio,

one-point lead in florida. and according to a market university poll he is up by eight points. in colorado the president is up by three points? ohio, he is up by two points. and the most recent polls in nevada and new hampshire have him up there as well. check this out! 332 electoral votes to 188 according -- i think i just knocked that out. to 191. that's from today. the only swing state that shows he is down -- actually tied today but down over all is in north carolina. and then there's pennsylvania. the romney camp made a $120,000 ad buy yesterday and three super pacs supporting romney have poured $6 million into pennsylvania just this week. why, you might ask? well, it's all part of their plan to quote, expand the electoral map. the president is up by four points in pennsylvania and they are still pouring all of that money into it. the poll out today was a franklin and marshall poll. and david axelrod placed an interesting range isser on whether the participate would take minnesota, michigan or pennsylvania. >> i will shave off my mustache if we lose a

are making a final push. obama has florida, colorado and ohio on his schedule. this morning mitt romney was in des moines and just spoke in cleveland, ohio to supporters. later today he will be rallying in pennsylvania and virginia. we'll have all the action from the campaign trail. we have a team of reporters in the battleground states covering all the angles. meanwhile, team obama is making its final push for votes today. this hour he is expected in the battleground state of florida where he is expected to speak shortly in hollywood, florida. brianna keelel is already there. brianna, what is the message the president is expected to deliver there? >> reporter: this, fredricka, is going to be his closing message. he is going to be telling voters you may not agree with everything that i've done, you may be impatient with the pace of change, but stick with me, my economic policies are working and we're heading in the right direction. as mitt romney has tried to frame himself as the candidate of real change, barack obama has kind of gone, no, not so fast, that is not mitt romney and he's t

including florida, ohio and virginia. closing right now polls in iowa, montana, nevada, utah and idaho. both candidates have settled into watch. the president has been some chicago, romney went to boston to cast his vote before flying out for more campaigning. we have team cove rage on the two. ken pritchett is with the president in chicago. we start with rita williams. >> >> reporter: romney's senior strategist took to the stage to try to rev up the crowd. he didn't have any real news but as you can see this crowd here is beginning to grow. meanwhile i'm told that romney is a cross the street in a hotel room with his wife ann, his five sons, 16 of his 18 grandchildren. right before he went in there he had one last thing to say about this long campaign. >> i have am very pleased. i feel like we have put it all in the field. we left nothing in the locker room. we fought to the very end and i think that's why we will be successful. >> reporter: no would have, could have, should have, he seemingly is satisfied with the campaign he has run. >> as for his supporters, some are down stairs below

in cincinnati, ohio. the president drew a crowd of 23,000 people this afternoon in hollywood, florida, after 24,000 people turned out last night to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia last night. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state of new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. people want to hear a president speak no matter who the president is just because he's a president. governor romney's rallies have today have been significantly smaller than obama's. for the romney campaign, these are really quite good crowds. all

there in a second. hang on to that thought. greg, you and i take care of florida. want to go first? >> greg: i want to talk about pennsylvania. >> eric: hold the thought. >> greg: bill clinton is in philly. did you hear what he said to the crowd there? he said who wants a president who will knowingly and repeatedly tell you something that isn't true? apparently he is running again. who knew it? he's testing the waters. did he do it third term? are we talking about florida? florida is tight. you know what it is? it's getting your blood test results. the action is quick, takes a week to get results and it could be catastrophe. >> bob: taken in the early morning. florida. >> eric: florida -- put the graphic up one more time. understand something about florida. florida is interesting. the panhandle which is an earlier time zone so you have two different time zones in florida. also florida breaks down this way. the southern part of florida is typically a democrat win. from the mid-state down, i-4 corridor that cuts the state in half. south of it, democrats. north of the i-4 corridor is typically republi

parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> we know what this president believes. but governor romney -- >> with these guys, it all depends on who you're talking to, where you are, what time of day it is, what state you're in, what the polls say. how the weather is. it

will be decided, president obama leads in five of them. only holds on an average lead in florida. this is why mitt romney will not give up on campaigning until the bitter end. he's back on the stump tomorrow. in a last-ditch effort to pull off a shocker in these two states. it's not surprising. there are efforts underway to make it harder for people to vote. you're seeing the result of manmade voter suppression. lines for early voting stretched around corners in ohio. make no mistake, this is a calculated decision to limit access to polls. ohio secretary of state john husted has been the focal point of a lot of criticism. he approved the restriction on early voting around the state. the same is happening in florida. voters waited as late as 2:30 a.m. to cast a ballot this weekend. voters reported wait times of up to, i cannot believe this number, seven hours. more people voting in democratic-leaning areas is bad for the gop. republican governor rick scott reduced number of early voting days and was able to defeat a court challenge to uphold his ruling in most of the state of florida. republicans,

at the moment. but i'm not going to be a total waffle guy this evening. i think mitt romney will win florida. if the governor wins ohio as well, he will be the next president of the united states. but that's a big if. president obama seems to have blunted romney's momentum over the weekend. talking points predicted that would happen last week. because of hurricane sandy, and because the national media simply refuses to cover the libyan situation. so while romney had momentum one week ago, the storm stalled it. and that's where we are tonight. both candidates slugging it out, momentum for both somewhat subdued. in just about four hours the good folks in dixville, noch, new hampshire will cast the first ballots. i love the notch. nature at its best up there romney will most likely carry the notch. but new hampshire seems to be leaning obama. if president obama loses the election, it will be because he could not convince americans that his big government philosophy would improve the economy. even though mr. obama had trouble in other areas like libya, it is the economy that has made this electi

, polls close early, 13 electoral votes, 48/47, president obama on top. state of florida, two-point lead for president obama. the state of ohio, most people have seen as the hinge point of this election, president obama's up 51/45. let's look at where the battleground states stand. if you average polls taken on the real clear politics website, of the nine battle ground states romney is only leading in the average of those polls in the two of them, north carolina and florida. the other states, president obama's got a lead. i'm talking about iowa, colorado, new hampshire, ohio, nevada, all states where president obama's doing very well. at least as competitive with romney. if mitt romney wins the states in his base, plus the two where he's leading, he only gets to 235 electoral votes, he needs many more to get elected. president obama would have many more, 303. so what mitt romney's got to do is figure a way to take some of those states away from the president. virginia, florida, ohio, colorado, iowa. that's where the election's going to be decided. mitt romney easily got a hill to climb t

and they are behind and they are not catching up at this point. they will be in florida and virginia, two states you would assume by now they would have secured, they assume by now, they would secure, they understand the traditional or the battleground states which we have focused are not working out for them. now they are looking for somewhere desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win the election. that is not going to happen. >>chris: you bet your mustache on the president we securing person. how secure is your mustache? >>guest: i grant you the mustache will be right where it is today. and where it has been for 40 years so you know how serious a bet that was. >>chris: the key now is town out. the obama campaign has talked for years about how strong your ground game is. in ohio and what the romney camp says is happening in early voting and absentee balloting with the numbers on the screen. it is complicated. i hope you can see the graphic. they say, the romney camp, that 557,000 ohio democrats have voted early or gotten absentee ballot, up 155,000 from four

% of the precincts reporting. barack obama 51%, mitt romney at 48% of the vote. >> now to florida, which is another huge state. 29 electoral votes up for grabs here. 89% of the precincts reporting. barack obama leading 51% to mitt romney, 49%. virginia tilting mitt romney's way. >> we're also keeping an eye on key races in the house and senate tonight. >> reporter: after a record amount of money spent on house and senate races, and some pretty big controversies, it all comes town to tonight. i'm joined by the managing editor of the hill. the headline right now, it's projected, republicans will retain control of the house. >> that's right. >> reporter: what's your reaction to this? it's not unexpected. >> it's not. it was an uphill projection for the democrats. they needed 25 seats, that was just too much of a climb for them. >> reporter: 38 democrats so far, 71 republicans have taken seats in the house. >> democrats were banking that medicare was going to be a big issue. democrats said the republicans were going to betray the tea party extreme. the strategy just did not bear fruit. >> reporter: the

states. ohio and florida. the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got

for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground florida, virginia and ohio. here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. we're locked up right here in democracy plaza. ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. ♪ ambiance [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. your head-start to home cooked. i have a cold, and i took nyquil, but i'm still stubbed up. [ male announcer ] truth is, nyquil doesn't unstuff your nose. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have a decongestant. no way. [ male announcer ] sorry. alka-seltzer plus fights your worst cold symptoms plus has a fast-acting decongestant to relieve your stuffy nose. thanks. [ male a

felt their chances were better in ohio than say virginia or florida was because of the auto industry. as you've mentioned before, one in eight jobs in this state are connected to the auto industry. the auto bailout is very popular. the president never missed a chance on a campaign trail in ohio to talk about how he had gotten the auto industry back on track and how governor romney opposed that bailout. >> thank you very much. we have breaking news of this moment. cbs news projects that mitt romney will carry the state of south carolina. no great surprise. mccain won that state by 9% in 2008, but we can now project that mitt romney will carry the state of south carolina. bob and nora, state of ohio again. it's so critical tonight. it might be said that if the president wins reelection tonight, he may have won it in 2009 when he signed that auto bailout. >> it very well might be the case. i still don't understand why governor romney went to cleveland today. this is the most heavily democratic part of the country and one of the most heavily democratic counties. maybe he was just trying

. >> we're waiting on florida right now florida is still too close to call. this of course is one of the t hotly contested states. florida too close to call. the polls are closed in florida. onto illinois where obama has taken illinois. as you can see there illinois is going to the president. maine also going to the president tonight. nbc news projecting president obama is the winner of maine. onto maryland where we are also seeing president obama take maryland. and that of course ten electoral votes. >> interesting. the state of massachusetts governor romney's home of course as governor at least being called for barack obama. also home to a very high profile senate race between senator scott brown and elizabeth warren of harvard. the woman who set up consumer protection bureau. mississippi is called for mitt romney. six electoral votes there and the state of missouri too early to call. >> new hampshire, we have been waiting on another hotly contested state. too close to call in new hampshire so far. this is four electoral votes and one of the hotly contested states new hampshir

is from florida and virginia where he is now takes ohio and new hampshire 270 electoral votes. he loses ohio and takes pennsylvania which is more of an uphill he has more than 270 votes. he has ohio, wisconsin you are safe he still won. i think he's very much in this game. i know a lot of my colleagues are saying he's got it won. i think he's on a winning course. i don't know if he has it won. >> the ground team which is where we are. that's the most important foreground games. i had a series of e-mails with ralph read faith and freedom coalition. he told me he had governor palin with a robo call going through 12 million voters. how far is she from getting voters up. he described a major asset evangelical women, tea party voters social conserves and repeats she is a major asset. we have 183,000 live calls in ohio just wednesday. governor scott walker, senator marco rubio that is part of the ground game. tea party, evangelicals, social conservatives. they have tremendous clout with these groups. anecdotal thing on saturday. i am sitting in the basement, they didn't know wasn't i was. i s

and florida. >> the northern virginia area and virginia, i mention those states because they are the first to have closed on the east coast in terms of the battleground states. we will look at those areas where the president's numbers should be high in hoping that they actually are. >>> specifically woodall says the campaign will be looking the early numbers in minorities, that could be a gauge for the night ahead. coming up, we will talk to the top democratic leader in the state of california who's attending tonight's event. that's attorney general harris in chicago. ken prichard, channel 2 news. >>> getting results from back east. ken and heather are watching those with the latest returns. >> we have fight -- five states that brings mitt romney 3 electoral votes. indiana went to president obama four years but not this time, mitt romney has been declared the winner of indiana, 55 to 45%. take a look at kentucky, another win for mitt romney, 59 to 41%. again, no surprises here. these are states that didn't turn out any differently than projected. >> let's take another look at another stat

. they will be in florida and virginia, two states that you would assume by now, they would have secured. or they assumed by now they would secure. they understand that the traditional or the battleground states on which we have been focusing are not working out for them. we are even or ahead in all of them. now they are looking for somewhere, desperately looking for somewhere to try to dislodge some votes to win the election. i can tell you that's not going to happen. >> chris: you bet your mustache on the president winning pennsylvania. how secure is your mustache today? >> the 96 time we see each other, chris, i guarantee you that mustache will be right where it's today and where it's been 40 years, so you know how serious that bet was. >> chris: the key now is turnout and the obama campaign has talked for years about how strong your ground game is. i want to look at ohio and what the romney camp says is happening in early voting and absentee ballots. let's putting the numbers up on the screen. it's a little complicated. they say, this is the romney camp, says that 557,000 ohio democrats that voted or

. who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very plea

the importance of that state by now. and two points ahead of governor romney in florida. but within the margin of error. also, early voting in florida ends today after the number of early voting days in that state is cut by half this year. 25 million people have already voted early in 34 states and washington, d.c. >>> and back to the frenetic pace on the campaign trail. both candidates have already held rallies in new hampshire, iowa, and wisconsin. >> you do want to be able to trust your president. you want to know -- you want to know that -- that your president means what he says and says what he means. after four years of president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i have made. you may at times have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know what i believe. you know where i stand. >> made a lot of promises, but those promises he couldn't keep. and the difference between us, he made promises he couldn't keep. i'm making promises i have kept and i will keep them for the american people. i have a clear and unequivocal message, and that is america is about to come ro

, time for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground in the big three, florida, virginia and ohio. we'll go to each state live. >>> and speaking of flova, florida, ohio, virginia, here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. be sure to check it out. you're watching a primetime edition of "the daily rundown." we are locked up right here in democracy plaza. we'll be right back. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. i just finished a bowl of your new light chicken pot pie soup and it's so rich and creamy... is it really 100 calories? let me put you on webcan... ...lean roasted chicken... and a creamy broth mmm i can still see you. [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. ♪ [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] introducing zzzquil sleep-aid. [ snoring ] [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] it's not for colds, it's not for pain, it's just for sleep. [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] because sleep is a beautiful thing. [ birds chirping ] introduc

in florida. and team romney thinks they have it all locked up. >> it looks like the map is starting to he can pand drastically in our favor. >> the spin from the right just keeps oncoming. tonight, richard wolffe and jonathan altar have a massive day on the campaign trail. >>> plus, all the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their chief lie. james hoffa of the teamster reacts. and karen finney and e.j. dionne talk about the rightys who blame hurricane sandy for the rough finish. >> the hurricane is what has broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us, folks. the days are racing by and time is running out for the 2012 presidential campaign. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. the campaign continues to trail but romney went to cleveland today to project strength. >> the chose of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be re-elected, he would -- it's possible but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hail mary pass

but the lines as long as six hours in florida have led to a major development in that state. and we will have a lot more on that later. in these final 48 hours, this race has become an all-out sprint. today president obama chris crossed the country starting in new hampshire. flying to florida and ohio for events. and ending the rally in colorado. governor romney began in iowa and held events in ohio and pennsylvania. he will end his day in virginia. president obama whipped voters into fever pitch on the trail. today, before record crowd of 14,000 in new hampshire. and then last night, it was another ruckus rally under virginia. >> now it's all up to you. it is up to the volunteers. it is -- it's up to somebody knocking on the door. it is up to someone making a phone call. it's up to someone talking to their mom or dad or their wife or husband or grandma or grandpa. and that's how democracy's supposed to be. it is up to you. you've got the power. and that's why i need you, virginia. don't get tired. don't get weary. if you're willing to knock on some doors with me and make some phone calls for

the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their lie. and karen finney responds to the righties who blame hurricane sandy for mitt romney's rough finish. >> the hurricane is what broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us tonight. folks, thanks for watching. the days are racing by and time is running out. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. romney went to clooeflds today to project strength. in the choice of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be reelected -- [ booing ] >> it's possible, but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hale mary pass in wisconsin. he was tailgating with packer fans today at lambeau field. then it was off to ohio as well. >> two more days. just two more days. two more days. this is one of those elections we will think back at and look at for years. >> the national polling average has president obama on top by just half a point. romney isn't as close in the states where the electio

. running mate paul ryan will hold events in ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, and florida. meanwhile, president obama was quick to respond to governor romney's latest attacks during his tour through ohio on friday. >> suddenly he's the candidate of change. but we know what change looks like. and what he's trying to sell, that ain't it. that ain't it. >> two new nbc/"wall street journal"/marist polls to show with you this morning. president obama with a six-point lead among likely voters in ohio. the numbers you see there, 51% to 45%. then going on to florida, the president gets support from 49% of likely voters. mitt romney, very close behind with 47%. let's go now to the latest on governor romney's campaign stops today. he starts off with a rally coming up in just about two hours, 9:00 a.m. nbc's peter alexander is in new hampshire. good morning to you, peter. >> alex, good morning to you. we're on the tarmac here now in new hampshire, specifically just a short time from now this is going to fill up with a big crowd greeting mitt romney and then sending him on his wail for what will be an exha

of time here in new hampshire. >> the great state of ohio, thank you so much. >> florida, we know what changes. >> your help, pennsylvania -- >> i need you, ohio. >> virginia is the best. >> turn out for me, colorado. we will win this state. >> as the candidates barnstorm the battleground states, new polls show the president may have caught an 11th hour break with voters in this deadlocked race may be moving ever so slightly in his direction. our new nbc news/"the wall street journal" poll the president does lead 48% to 47% among likely voters. a look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight, maybe even a mirror image of the 2004 showdown between president bush and senator john kerry. we see some movement towards the president. obama leads by seven points, almost four in ten. and he leads by four points in the battleground states, again, though, within the margin of error. the president is holding on to an eight-point advantage among women and that's slightly higher than romney's edge among men. the president's job rating sits at 49%. take a look at these numbers. 67% of likely

in stanford, florida, lynchberg and fairfax, virginia, columbus, ohio, and manchester, ohio, and it wouldn't be an election without a legal mess in florida. voters reporting lines up to seven hours long at some south florida early polling stations. but at the end of the day, tomorrow, it will all possibly be about ohio. the president holding a slim lead in the buckeye state in the polls. in this exclusive interview with cnn, john boehner of ohio says he believes that his state could just swing red. >> polls don't win the elections, voters do. i've been around ohio. i've done this trip around ohio for a lot of presidential races in the past. and i think ohioans vote with their wallets. that's why i think romney will win on tuesday. >> we're blanketing the battle grounds with our cnn reporters. john berman, of course, following that for us this morning. >> good morning. first up is florida. swing state considered a must win particularly for mitt romney. the most recent polling there has been mixed with some showing a romney lead. some polls showing the president's on top. we're going to turn

with 303 electoral votes, florida is still up in the air although the president does have a lead there right now of half of a percentage point. now, it's important to note that obama took nearly every swing state, including colorado, ohio, pennsylvania virginia, and wisconsin. those last three really contributed to his win and to the fact that we were able to call the race relatively early last night. if you remember yesterday, there was speculation that the count could go on for several days in the event of a close race. the popular vote is very close at 50.2% to 48.2, just a difference of two points there but with nearly 100-point spread in the electoral vote, it's really no contest. congressional seats democrats did not gain control of the house, which was to be expected, but they did maintain control of the is that the, picking up seats in indiana and massachusetts, a big win there for elizabeth warren against scott brown. we're still waiting on results from montana and north dakota but departments have the lead right now. the two independents, king from maine and sanders fro

, not only virginia but also florida in the southeast to be competitive in this race tonight, but that is not enough. as we move to the midwest he's going to have po pick off one of the key states in barack obama's fire wall, either ohio or wisconsin because you see what happens right there, if the president gets both ohio and wisconsin he only five votes away from an electoral lock. >> well, this is the difficult route that br has. he has to take the atlantic coasts sta s states and move i into the midwest and start picking off midwestern states. early in the night if he sees trouble in those, it's going to be a very difficult night for mitt romney. he has to win those three atlantic coast states. >> if he doesn't, if the president wins any one if we go back to the what if board in the middle. any one of these in play where he's ahead or tied he has 270 electoral votes. >> let's head off to richmond, virginia, with amy klobuchar robach. i know you're at a dnc headquarters. >> reporter: i'm wearing purple. it was completely coincidental but very appropriate because this is a

everywhere. and so, it may have an impact, for example in the state of florida, 1.6 million veterans and their families and they can have an impact. they can in ohio as well. the latest scandals, as you know, the latest -- one of the latest is that -- there was a gathering in the consulate in benghazi of the security people. they reviewed the fact that al qaeda was in the area in big time, that they were having greater and greater danger and they sent that to the state department. obviously, nothing happened there. we now have the information that the counter-terrorism security group -- that's a group that is supposed to convene when there is an act of terror to coordinate the efforts of all the different agencies of government. you know that they were never convened? they were never convened in this act of terror that took the lives of four brave americans. so, it's getting out there, greta. it's angering our veterans and it's angering our active duty people. i think it can have an impact because we have still got 5 more days. this is a classic scandal where almost every day or ever

had on it. but you what did romney have to do? north carolina, he picks up florida and virginia where he is is right now and takes ohio and new hampshire, 270 electoral votes. if he loses ohio and takes, pennsylvania, which is a little more uphill then he has 270 votes. if he loses ohio and gets colorado and wisconsin, your state, he still won. i think he is very much in this game and i know a lot of my colleagues are saying he has -- i think he is on a winning course. i don't know if he has got it won. >> the ground game is where we are. that is the most important thing, the ground game. i'm trying to snoop around to see who is doing what for ground games. i have ralph reid, faith and freedom coalition. he told me that he had governor sarah palin through a ro robocl that has gone to 12 million voters. i said how important is she to getting voters out. >> he described her as a major asset and she resonates strongly with evangelical women and social conservatives and she is major assets. 180,000 line calls from volunteers. others do robo calls. governor huckabee and marco rubio. that i

hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the end. >> what's it going to mean for obama if obama wins it is the ground level organizat

and florida. if laura trevelyan is in miami. clyde is in cleveland. let's start with you. have aligned and as long there as they have been everywhere else in the country -- have the lines been as long there as they have been everywhere else in the country? >> they have been pretty long. at about 7:00 this morning, the actual stores open at 6:30 a.m., and there were already 20 people there. and it was a slow trickle. election officials are estimating about 70%, not as high in the previous election. but lorimar, millions have already voted in early voting -- but remember, millions have already voted in early voting in this state. we did see joe biden breeze in to try to shore up the final push for votes. president obama has had a bit of a lead during the last few months and it has tightened in the last few months -- few weeks. unemployment is lower. there are fewer foreclosures. there is a sense of optimism here and that has helped president obama, but it is tight. statistically, is still within the margin of error. we could be in for a long night. >> i hope not. thanks very much. laura

the battleground states? >> i see florida going to romney. although, i've got to say, romney is closer to losing florida than obama is close to losing ohio. now that tells you something. i think north carolina is romney's. i think, as i said, wis consin, ohio, and iowa are all going to go to obama. new hampshire is tight as a tick, it colorado is tight as a tick, nesad is obama's. and there we are. the rest aren't competitive. >> i would say this. as we look at this on election night early on, even if these states are close, even if obama wins a pennsylvania, minnesota, michigan, we may not know that right away because they're really close. i think they only break if there's a very giant wave, and frankly, none of us see that coming. >> schieffer: you think we're going to be there late. >> oh, yes. >. >> it depends what happens in florida. i think florida say toss-up, and if you look at the early vote, if if leans pretty heavily democratic and in a lot of the states where obama is ahead by a point or two, the early vote is democratic. the republicans caught up, but it's still democratic leaning.

charles wells to look back at the 2000 election result in florida and we'll discuss the history of close presidential elections with presidential historian richard norton smith p. -- smith. [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] [captioned by the national captioning institute --www.ncicap.org--] >> from this location of fairfax high school in fairfax, pretty busy so far. closed at 7:00. florida closing at 8:00 tonight. ohio also closing later after that. the first tally of votes coming in from dixville knocks, new hampshire. -- knox, new hampshire. by the way, c-span's coverage of election day 2012 starts at 8:00 this evening with the interactive result on the house and governor's races. you can see a real-time display of the balance of powers. live video from both the obama and romney headquarters. plus, you can get reaction as well. again, join us tonight. we invite you to join us at 8:00 starting on c-span. listen to it on c-span radio. also tune into c-span.org for more information and other informatio

of the battle ground states. florida still too close to call right now. people voted late in the night and officials still ned to count the absentee ballots. >> steve: hispanics in colorado voted three-one and giving him colorado. he also took the state of iowa 52-46 for romney. >> brian: we thought that was going to be closer. all important state of ohio. this was neck and neck . it was the bellweather. union household incrosed support to the by five points . not a surprise. comny won north carolina which obama took last time around. mitt romney was able to grab. virge rirge and florida isn't in his column. >> gretchen: half of wisconsin voters have a favorable opinion of paul ryan, it was not enough to give romney a win. he lost his home state. >> brian: that was a dominant win in wisconsin. >> steve: despite the push in pennsylvania. voters gave the 20 electoral vote to president obama. >> brian: what happened to dead heat and too close to call. pennsylvania, president obama got out in front and never let go. we have long. john roberts is with mitt romney in headquarters and phil ke

campaigned in three key states. today he will be in florida where he will be in a neck and neck race with president obama. he wants leadership and restore faith in the american spirit. >> any one who fears the american dream is fading away. if there is any one who wonders whether better jobs and xhaks are a things of the past i have a clear unequivocal message. with the right leadership america is about to come roar back. >> governor mitt romney giving his closing statements. important states for him he knows that's the state to go on and win the presidency. >> kelly wright in washington. thank you. >> we head to the all important battle ground state of florida. that is where phil keet something -- phil keating is live. >> president obama and governor romney, were they successful in the final pitches to voters? on the american headquarters special they gave their analysis. >> you can see the fatigue in both of their faces, you can hear it in both of their voices. as far as romney is concerned he is trying to go big. you face a good choice you can continue on the path of barack obama,

to the president coming up next hour. millions of americans have already voted in places like florida, ohio, and in georgia. but that is just a fraction of the total, which makes the next three days pretty darn important for the candidates. joining me now, as she does at this time every week, is cnn contributor maria cardona. and from miami this morning, cnn contributor anna navarro. good morning to both of you. >> good morning. >> maria, last week you said that the latino vote is being undercounted in the polls and that president obama actually has a bigger lead than everyone thinks. i want to get anna's take on that one. >> you know, we could spend all morning here discussing the skewed polls. if they look good from my side, the democrats think it look s skewed. i think we're going to go into a nose spin and we don't want to suffer from political schizophrenia. my advice is that we don't obsess about polls because it really could lead to temporary insanity between now and november 6th. i just saw two polls last night from florida. one mitt romney six points up on barack obama, and the sec

, and obviously florida knows something about storms. as a nation we warn of those to of the losses. we-- we mourn those who have been lost. i talk to the governors and mayors every day. i want people to know what i talked to them i talking on behalf of america, and i have told them we will be with them every step of the way until they have fully recovered from the hardships and a crisis, and we will do it together, because that is how we do it in the united states of america. [applause] as heartbroken as we of the end result of the images of families who let that affect it, we also been inspired seeing police officers and firefighters rushing into burning buildings and waiting water to save lives and neighbors helping neighbors cope with tragedy. leaders of different political parties working together to fix what is broken. we see a spirit that says no matter how bad a storm is, we will always bounce back. no matter how tough times are, we're all in this together. that we rise or fall as one nation and as one people. that spirit has guided his country along the improbable dirty for more than two

were supposed to be blue and we're watching florida closely as well as virginia. those are two battleground states that could shape this election. we will keep you posted. >> the polls are still open in california until 8:00. you still have time to vote. >> right now i'm standing outside the registrar of the people have showed up to vote. they are doing drive of boating but there are also a lot of people inside. -- voting at the county hired 6000 workers over the last three or four months to make sure that they come in just for today to make sure things run smoothly. after 8:00 when the polls close things will get very interesting. >> we start counting the ballots. and around 915 we will get returns and and there will be a lot of activity between now betwee and 10:00 in the morning >> for now and the south bay kron4 news. >> kron4 cameras were there when lots of deep melon ballots were delivered. -- the mail in >> we mailed out 450,000 ballots and as of yesterday we have received 202,000 back in the mail. we picked up the mail today and we got maybe another 20,000 back. we'll g

, david? >> florida and virginia right now. you want-- >> ifill: do you have a white board? >> i wish i did. i'm not that spiffy. we talked a lot about ohio. but to get to ohio mitt romney has to hurdle florida and virginia. and we've really got no real information but little whiffes of information, looking pret competitive in both places. so the romney people should be looking nervously at both those states. >> woodruff: why do you say that, because they thought they would be doing better? >> because of who is come out to vote, the exit polls. they looked close in those state and romney really has to win those. >> ifill: what information are you picking up? >> i'm always fasinated by david's whiffs, and i think virginia is interesting because they had to extend the voting hours in virginia, from normal closing. >> woodruff: based on long-- >> long lines that people were in lines, which i think-- democrats are always cheered by larger turnout. that's a rule of thumb. >> ifill: we just heard in virginia they had to keep the polls open or won't-- they won't report results until 8:00, even

doubt about tomorrow's outcome. the president in ohio, wisconsin and iowa. governor romney in florida, virginia, ohio and new hampshire. running mates and surrogates also dotting the swing state map. governor romney's got kid rock, bruce springsteen is campaigning with the president, but in the end, it is down to the candidates and often to the candidates' last vocal cord. >> now's the time to keep pressing forward. educate our kids and train new workers. bring troops home. care for our veterans. broaden opportunity. grow our middle class. restore our democracy mange sure that no matter who you are, no matter where you come from, no matter how you started out, no matter what your last name is, you can make it here in america if you try. wisconsin, that's why i need your vote. and if you're willing to work with me again and knock on some doors with me, make some phone calls for me, turn out for me, we'll win wisconsin. we'll win this election. >> he can't change washington from the inside, only from the outside. we're going to give him that chance in a day or two. >> millions of people

say that. i need my beauty sleep. might not do much good, but i need my beauty sleep. florida is another one. that is a battleground state where of late mitt romney has been consistently going well. he has to do well. >> florida is another state. neil: and you have been busy campaigning. >> floridian more than viejo is a must win. neil: ohio. maybe pennsylvania. >> ohio is important, but if he can take florida and virginia, if romney can take florida and virginia and slips in ohio then colorado, maybe pennsylvania to make up for that. there are ways to do it, but virginia and florida are critical. neil: we always forget, mayor, that there are so many other races going on. thirty-three senate seats. republicans need a net gain of four senate seats. but if they have president romney, three. how likely is that? it will look like a gimme. not so much. neil: i see in early voting that murdoch's ahead. not by much, but still ahead. if murdoch wins, which people are wondering whether he can because of some of the controversial comments -- neil: he was the tea party backed candidate w

and that is the presidential battleground state florida. it looks like president obama has a smidgen more overall vote. now we go to pennsylvania, 62 percent barack obama. in ohio that is very similar to the type of voter in pennsylvania 36% of the precincts reporting a slow going their 54-46 for the president at the moment. and as they say no republican goes to the white house without ohio now let's check in with the hometown crowd. you are on jackie. >> i am here with the co-chair of the obama campaign bill daley also former chief of staff welcome just a few minutes ago so,. so calm. >> there has been no major change. >> are you hearing more than what you are seeing at the media? >> things are rolling out as was expected virginia is the same way, ohio is still early into that looks very close with the president is in a strong state what you think the keys were so far in getting these votes? >> i think they are incredible campaign operations in the volunteers. i think it's really unprecedented in the history of american politics. it's good, organized and efficient. you should see volunteers staffing, an

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